新冠病毒对阿联酋、沙特经济的影响根据最新研究，冠状病毒的影响正渗入海湾经济体，阿联酋和沙特阿拉伯都报告了严峻的形势。

IHS Markit表示，疫情对阿联酋（阿拉伯第二大经济体）的出口和供应链造成了压力，而沙特阿拉伯的产出、新订单和就业趋势自2020年初以来都失去了动力。

新冠病毒正在该地区进一步传播，已经限制航空旅行的沙特阿拉伯周一报告了首例确诊病例。

研究称，阿联酋的商业环境在2月份恶化。阿联酋航空集团（Emirates Group）运营着全球国际客运量最大的航空公司。本周早些时候，该公司鼓励员工休假，因为疫情影响了旅游需求。

报告称，由于新订单减少，阿联酋企业开始限制活动，同时在精简成本的努力下，就业人数再次下降。

另外，由于对出口和供应链上冠状病毒爆发的担忧，产出预期急剧下降至近两年的低点。

2月份，IHS Markit阿联酋采购经理人指数（PMI）为49.1，略低于1月份的49.3，为2009年8月以来的最低水平。这一数据表明，在产出、新订单和就业下降的影响下，经济状况连续第二个月恶化。

IHS Markit经济学家David Owen表示：“2月份，阿联酋非石油私营部门再次遭受打击，最新的PMI数据表明商业环境进一步恶化。”

“与此同时，供应商业绩受到中国爆发冠状病毒疫情的影响，全球PMI调查显示，中国货运严重延误，出口需求疲软。阿联酋许多公司也遭受信贷问题困扰，积压的订单量连续第五个月上升。

尽管许多公司对今年的前景保持乐观，但人们担心，病毒爆发可能会损害本已举步维艰的国内经济，企业的预期受到了打击。因此，对未来产出的信心跌至近两年低点。”

在沙特阿拉伯，2月份的PMI为52.5，低于1月份的54.9，为2018年4月以来的最低水平。尽管如此，总体经济指数仍高于50这一关键的荣枯分水岭。

影响PMI的主要因素是2月份非石油私营部门产出增速放缓和新业务增长。

IHS Markit经济学副主任Tim Moore表示：“最新调查数据显示，自2020年初以来，增长势头急剧减弱，整体商业环境改善的速度是近两年来最慢的。”

“尽管通过价格折扣来刺激销售的努力，但新订单增长继续放缓，这导致自2009年8月开始调查以来，非石油私营部门的产出增幅最小。”

“2月份的数据显示，随着COVID-19在中国爆发，国际供应链的中断带来了新的挑战，企业开始寻求增加库存，并寻找关键零部件的替代供应商。因此受访者表示，原材料交货周期延长，采购成本也出现了近一年半来的最大涨幅。”


本文资料源自arabianbusiness

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